Randy
Miles, associate professor of soil science at the University of Missouri, said
a continuous pattern of dry weather during the past 2½ to three years caused
conditions that might make for another hard season for summer crops.
"We
don't have a fully recharged soil profile," Miles said. "The surface
soil is moist, but the subsoil is, well, pretty dry."
The
current conditions are in part fallout from a rough 2012.
Mark
Fuchs, hydrologist with the National Weather Service, said besides some rain in
April 2012, that year was almost completely dry, and the summer was extra hot.
"That
quickly dried out the top soil and translated into moisture shortages over time
below that as well," Fuchs said. "The only thing that saved us that
year was a relatively cool August."
Fuchs
said other climatologists refer to what happened that year as a "flash
drought."
The
next year was a little better for some parts of the state, such as
south-central and southwest Missouri, which received significant rainfall and,
in some parts, major flash flooding during the summer. Still, there were some
parts of the state that Fuchs said "never fully recovered" from 2012,
primarily the area north of the Missouri River.
There
hasn't been a lot of moisture since last summer, either, Fuchs said. The fall
was fairly dry, and the winter was below average in precipitation.
"Winter
is the time of year we hope to get a significant recharge, with some more in
the spring," he said, adding that although it was a cold winter, it was
still considered a dry one. "So far, though, spring has not kicked in.
March rainfall totals have been low through most of the state. If we don't get
significant, or hopefully above-average, rainfall in April and May, we could be
setting ourselves up for a drought-ridden summer."
April
and May are indicator months of what kind of year to expect, Fuchs said.
Miles
has seen the lack of precipitation at the Sanborn Field weather station, a
research area Miles directs under the MU College of Food, Agriculture and
Natural Resources.
"Good,
timely rains" above what Missouri normally gets would help to make up the
deficit, but Miles said that it takes more than an overnight shower to move the
moisture down to the subsoil.
Without
more rain, there is the possibility of decreased yields for farmers.
Also,
he said many local ponds, springs and even the Missouri River will be — and
already are — lower than usual.
(By Ashely Jost. This article was published in the Friday,
March 28, 2014 edition of the Columbia Daily Tribune with the headline
"Soil needs a water recharge; Ground is dry under surface.")
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